Sun. Dec 22nd, 2024

In a puzzling twist, ZANU PF, once eager to chase diamonds, now hesitates to tap into Mozambique’s wealth of precious minerals. The swift action seen in Congo has given way to an unusual inertia. This reluctance is not due to pressure but rather a deeper drive for self-enrichment and power retention.

It seems urgent to send troops to Mozambique, but this idea is misleading. A strong economy does not suit ZANU PF. A thriving private sector and a smart middle class threaten the party’s hold on power. ZANU PF’s real goal is to stay in control through chaotic land reforms and manipulating aid for political gain.

The party’s talk about protecting the Beira corridor in Mozambique is a cover. Their supposed dedication to Mozambique’s sovereignty is doubtful when compared to their past actions. ZANU PF’s selective memory and hesitance to get involved show a careful move driven by a fear of risk, not a concern for regional stability.

ZANU PF is known for shifting blame and making excuses, and their behavior in Mozambique is no different. While claiming they can’t intervene alone, they forget their past actions. Their reliance on SADC’s collective action hides their lack of true commitment to regional stability. Their disregard for international standards, shown by their expulsion from the Commonwealth, highlights their real attitude towards institutional rules.

The pressure on ZANU PF is not from outside but from their own economic mess. Inflation, corruption, and budget problems weaken any chance of a successful military effort. Sending troops would worsen the economic situation and could lead to ZANU PF’s downfall, as their power rests on a weak economic foundation.

The reasons ZANU PF gave for past interventions, as said by Mugabe’s spokesperson in 1999, do not hold up in today’s Mozambique. The party lacks the political will because the landscape has changed, with oil and gas resources now in focus. ZANU PF cannot handle complex conflicts and is fixated on plundering mineral wealth, making them unfit for serious engagement.

ZANU PF’s fake disinterest in Mozambique is a strategic trick. Their inability to plunder Mozambique’s oil and gas, combined with poor military skills, leaves them in a tough spot. The risk of damaging national security and regional stability keeps ZANU PF on the edge of intervention, torn between greed and strategic limits.

In the end, ZANU PF’s hesitation to act in Mozambique is not about genuine care for stability or sovereignty. It is a calculated move driven by selfish interests, a failure to satisfy their resource lust, and a clear lack of military strategy. Their fake concern over Mozambique hides a deeper struggle for power and wealth, leaving both countries and the region vulnerable to ZANU PF’s unpredictable decisions.

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